Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.011710 0.014228 0.017392 0.021751 0.027758 0.035996 0.048632
2025-02-16 0.008601 0.011398 0.015392 0.021819 0.032573 0.051378 0.091330
2025-02-23 0.006973 0.009746 0.014041 0.021714 0.036528 0.068145 0.160053
2025-03-02 0.005776 0.008359 0.012580 0.020696 0.038116 0.081805 0.252362
2025-03-09 0.005012 0.007464 0.011660 0.020256 0.040585 0.100379 0.428474
2025-03-16 0.004547 0.006962 0.011281 0.020717 0.045443 0.132780 0.904603
2025-03-23 0.004132 0.006467 0.010798 0.020779 0.049382 0.169646 2.076570
2025-03-30 0.003697 0.005872 0.010002 0.019874 0.050013 0.194667 4.310667
2025-04-06 0.003377 0.005440 0.009455 0.019414 0.051905 0.232868 13.168628
2025-04-13 0.003188 0.005229 0.009320 0.019961 0.057880 0.319843 307.031650
2025-04-20 0.003090 0.005176 0.009510 0.021457 0.069131 0.519893 NaN
2025-04-27 0.002960 0.005043 0.009497 0.022382 0.079148 0.817359 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002748 0.004747 0.009122 0.022302 0.085611 1.223874 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002568 0.004498 0.008827 0.022432 0.094299 2.065948 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002399 0.004252 0.008495 0.022327 0.101930 3.583848 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002209 0.003940 0.007947 0.021270 0.101708 4.898453 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002067 0.003716 0.007589 0.020813 0.106052 8.532088 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001976 0.003596 0.007483 0.021292 0.119921 29.625111 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001879 0.003451 0.007288 0.021356 0.130795 158.941262 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001757 0.003240 0.006883 0.020417 0.129643 512.752669 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001662 0.003080 0.006602 0.019939 0.133613 63863.430649 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001607 0.003011 0.006560 0.020507 0.153035 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001584 0.003009 0.006714 0.022060 0.194456 NaN NaN